“I think the conditions here are pretty tricky,” Iga Swiatek said, addressing the struggles she’s facing amid her ongoing campaign in Doha. The WTA star is on the hunt for her first title since Roland Garros in 2024. After making it to the top eight, the Pole is now matched against the world no. 7 Elena Rybakina. Still struggling to gain stability amid the turbulent coaching situation, the Kazakh is also aiming for a title to prove her consistency. Here are the odds and predictions for the upcoming high-stakes match.

Iga Swiatek vs Elena Rybakina: Preview

Iga Swiatek, ranked world No. 2, started the 2025 season strong. She reached the United Cup final by beating tough rivals including Malene Helgo, Karolina Muchova, Katie Boulter, and Elena Rybakina before losing to Coco Gauff. Stepping into the Australian Open, she made the semifinals without dropping a set, but lost to Madison Keys in three sets. Despite this, she reached the WTA 1000 quarterfinals in Doha by defeating Linda Nosková.

The 2022 Wimbledon champion, Elena Rybakina, has reached the Qatar Open quarterfinals for the second time in her career. She secured her spot with a 7-6, 6-2 win over Rebecca Šrámková. Earlier, she also made the semifinals in Abu Dhabi, bringing her season record to 10 wins and 3 losses.

Swiatek vs Rybakina: Head-to-head

Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina have faced each other seven times, with Rybakina leading their head-to-head 4-3. Here is an overview of their past matches:

• January 4, 2025: United Cup Semifinal – Świątek defeated Rybakina 7-6(5), 6-4.

• April 20, 2024: Stuttgart Semifinal – Rybakina won 6-3, 4-6, 6-3.

• February 17, 2024: Doha Final – Świątek triumphed 7-6(8), 6-2.

• May 17, 2023: Rome Quarterfinal – Rybakina advanced after Świątek retired at 2-6, 7-6(3), 2-2.

• March 17, 2023: Indian Wells Semifinal – Rybakina dominated 6-2, 6-2.

• January 22, 2023: Australian Open Fourth Round – Rybakina prevailed 6-4, 6-4.

• September 24, 2021: Ostrava Quarterfinal – Świątek emerged victorious 7-6(5), 6-2.

Prediction: Elena Rybakina to win in three sets over Iga Swiatek

The upcoming match between Iga Swiatek and Elena Rybakina is expected to be a close battle. Świątek has been solid in 2025, with an 11-2 record on hard courts and a strong overall record in the last 10 years. Her serve has been reliable, with 63% of first serves in and a good break-point conversion rate. However, she has already lost a set in this tournament, showing some vulnerability. While she has great consistency and a strong baseline game, Rybakina’s power and serve could be a big challenge for her.

Rybakina has been in good form as well, with a 10-3 record this year on hard courts. She has not dropped a set in this tournament and has been dominant on her first serve, winning 90% of points behind it. Her ability to hit aces and attack early in rallies gives her an advantage against Świątek’s defense.

While Iga will fight hard, Rybakina’s aggressive style and strong serving should help her win in three sets. Considering all the stats, Rybakina is highly expected to win in three sets.