It has been over a month since Roger Federer made his much-anticipated return to the ATP Tour. The Swiss maestro hadn’t touched his racquet in over 14 months as recovered from his knee surgeries in 2020.
Given his long break, he has slowly slipped down the ATP Rankings. With Mutua Madrid Open 2021 being a flagship clay event in which Federer is slated to participate, he finds himself in the lower half of the top 10 rankings.
Federer had started 2021 in the top five, but since then fantastic performances from others and Federer losing points have sent him down to the World No.7 spot. Furthermore, Federer is set to drop to World No.8, after Andrey Rublev‘s heroics in the Monte Carlo Masters 2021.
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The Swiss has 5875 points, which is good enough for him to stay eighth in the rankings. Behind him are Diego Schwartzman in 9th, Matteo Berrettini in 10th and Roberto Bautista Agut in 11th. Schwartzman has 3720 points, 2155 points behind Roger.
Given the Madrid Open begins in two weeks, there aren’t many tournaments in that time period and thus Federer will keep his eighth place until Madrid Open.
How far is Roger Federer from going out of the top 10?
Federer is well clear of the chasing pack behind him. In the coming weeks, he doesn’t have a lot of points to defend. He is mainly defending 180 points from Madrid and Rome, respectively, whereas Schwartzman is defending 645 points from Rome and Madrid and Berrettini is defending 180 points.
So even if Schwartzman does the double of Madrid Open and Italian Open, he will not be able to cross Federer.
As for Berrettini, he will have to pull off the Madrid Open and Italian Open heist, which will be incredibly tough in the stacked draw.
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But Federer will reportedly play only one tournament before French Open 2021. Thus he won’t be adding a lot of points. So until the Grand Slam in Paris, eventually Schwartzman, Berrettini, and others might catch up with Federer.