UFC 263: Leon Edwards vs Nate Diaz: Prediction and Analysis

UFC 263 will see Nate Diaz return to action to fight cream of the crop welterweight contender Leon Edwards. A win for either man can put them in pole position for a title shot next, especially Edwards. Also, it will be an interesting spectacle to see how Diaz performs after yet another lengthy lay-off.

Edwards, too, has not been very active recently. He stepped inside the Octagon for the first time since 2019 against Belal Muhammad in March. But that fight ended in a no-contest due to an accidental eye poke. So it’s hard to give either man the activity advantage over the other.

Diaz last fought at UFC 244 against Jorge Masvidal. He broke a 3-year-long lay-off to fight Anthony Pettis prior to that. However, the Stockton native has mentioned he feels he is getting younger and sharper because of certain changes in his diet and training regime.

The 36-year-old has competed only 5 times over the last six years. This may be detrimental against Edwards who has won 8 of his last 9 fights (one NC).

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Leon Edwards vs Nate Diaz: Analysis

It’s hard not to give Edwards the edge in this fight. Despite his recent inactivity, he looked as sharp as ever in his short fight against ‘Remember The Name’.

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Masvidal pummeled Diaz at UFC 244 before doctors called a stop to the contest because of a cut over his eyes. As Diaz’s scar tissues always seem to open up, it’s hard to imagine Edwards not slicing up his soft spots with his brutal elbows.

If Edwards takes Diaz down and controls him there, the judges will favor ‘Rocky‘ despite Diaz’s activity off his back. On the feet, it’s quite evenly matched. Diaz is not someone who will get overwhelmed by any means while striking. However, Edwards’s kicks might play a crucial factor.

Edwards might just be able to get a decision win in his favor with a dominant display. But, with Diaz, an upset can very well be on the cards.

Final Prediction: Leon ‘Rocky’ Edwards by unanimous decision.