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Debate

Will rain give the Bills an edge over the Dolphins, or will it be a slippery mess?

“67% chance of rain and 91% chance of thunderstorms.” Damn, sounds like Miami’s serving up a recipe for a football game that could be drenched in drama. With the Bills and Dolphins set to clash in Week 2, let’s just say the weather’s about to throw a thunderous curveball to the NFL.

So, what’s Mother Nature cooking? Per BET MGM, Miami Gardens will hit a toasty 91 degrees during the daytime. But AccuWeather cranks it up with a RealFeel of 103 in the sun and 99 in the shade. Toss in 80% humidity at Hard Rock Stadium, and you’ve got a setup for serious sweat. 

And the rain? Oh, it’s definitely on the cards. We’re staring down a 67% shot at showers and a solid 91% chance of thunderstorms. Toss in 0.18 inches of rain and wind gusts hitting 9 mph—it’s shaping up to be a soggy, sticky mess out there!

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The weather’s already shaking up the odds. The total started at 51 but has dipped to 48.5 (-110) as the forecast rolls in. It’s not just about the rain, though—both teams are dealing with their own issues. The Phins, with injuries to RBs DeVon Achane (ankle) and Raheem Mostert  (chest), might play it safe. Meanwhile, the Buffs’ run-heavy offense and Josh Allen’s left-hand injury could mess with the Bills’ game plan. Though Allen’s not expected to sit out, his injury could tweak how Buffalo attacks.

With these conditions, even Buffalo’s impressive Week 1 NFL stats might take a hit. The rain and humidity could turn this game into a ground-and-pound affair, impacting the final score and shifting betting odds. 

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Rain threatens to dampen NFL betting odds

With rain on the horizon, you can bet it’s shaking up the betting lines for this Week 2 showdown.

What’s your perspective on:

Will rain give the Bills an edge over the Dolphins, or will it be a slippery mess?

Have an interesting take?

Here’s the scoop: any kind of rain can lower passing game production by 12%, according to Covers.com. Field goals aren’t safe either—expect them to dip by about 2% on shorter attempts. So, if you’re banking on a high-scoring affair, pump the brakes. The over/under’s sitting at 51, but history says that might be a stretch. Since 2004, prime-time divisional games with lines between 49.5 and 57 have hit the under 44 times out of 63.

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The buffs have dominated the Phins lately, winning both matchups last year, including a 48-20 blowout. With Josh Allen at the helm, Buffalo’s 11-2 against Miami, with seven of those wins by double digits.

So, if you’re placing bets, factor in the weather and Buffs strong track record. This game could be a gritty, low-scoring affair, influenced heavily by the elements. Keep your eyes on the forecast—it might just be the game changer for your bets.