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Joe Pompliano predicts a $100 Billion payday with the 18-game Regular Season Change
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KEY REVENUE INCREASES | |
National TV Contracts | |
Annual revenue | $5.65 billion |
Additional three weeks (two games + one bye week | $996 million per year |
Additional Home Game Revenue | |
Average ticket revenue per game | $8 million |
In-stadium spending (parking, concessions, merchandise) | $2.25 million |
Total per extra home game | $10.25 million |
Total Additional Revenue Per Team | |
TV contracts per team | $31.125 million |
One extra home game | $31.125 million |
Total additional revenue per team per year | $41.375 million |
League-wide additional revenue per year | $1.324 billion |
Hageland noted that the league could significantly boost its revenue by $1.324 billion annually with an 18-game schedule, translating to $41.375 million per team. This expansion leverages increased ticket sales, media rights, and merchandise, making it a lucrative change for both the league and team owners.
Fast-forward to 2024, the short answer to the question ‘How much money can NFL Owners make with an 18-game schedule’ is short – the owners stand to make a LOT!
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Are you against the 18-game Regular Season? This might change your mind!
Roger Goodell’s proposal is grounded in pure common sense—playing three NFL games in 10 days is not healthy for any athlete, and this change aims to end that practice. Here’s what makes this proposal worthy:
- Boosted Revenue Streams: An expanded season is all about monetary gain for players and owners – more games equals more money. Fox Business reported that the NFL brought in about $16 billion in revenue during the 2018 league year. Other reports indicate that the league’s goal is to earn $25 billion by 2027. With this change and Pompliano’s prediction combined, we’ve got even bigger numbers! This change could also offset the decline in ticket sales. Additional regular-season or playoff games on the annual slate mean more revenue from television, especially with the existing broadcasting deals.
- Enhanced Fan Experience: More games keep fans engaged longer, providing extra opportunities to watch their favorite teams.
- Fairer Scheduling: An 18-game season allows for more balanced schedules, reducing disparities in rest days and matchups against teams coming off byes.
- Strategic Bye Weeks: Two well-placed bye weeks help reduce player fatigue and injury risk.
- Meaningful Preseason Reduction: Cutting down on preseason games eliminates meaningless matches, making the schedule fairer for ticket-paying fans.
- Perfect Super Bowl Timing: Aligning the Super Bowl with a holiday weekend, like Presidents’ Day, offers fans a day off after the big game.
- Increased Roster Flexibility: Allowing more active game-day players and practice-squad promotions provides teams with greater depth and flexibility.
The proposal has also sparked significant disagreement among many athletes, and for many, it all comes down to money. Indianapolis Colts center Ryan Kelly breaks it down, “If they said, ‘Hey, you guys get 70% of revenue and we’ll take 30 as owners,’ a lot of guys would sign up for that if you make $100 million playing quarterback [the current revenue split is approximately 52% to 48% in favor of owners].
Of the players surveyed by ESPN, 46% were in favor of an 18-game schedule with stipulations and 8% voted YES without stipulation. 19%, however, strongly disagree with regular-season expansion.
For many athletes, no amount of money can account for the risks associated with this change. “You’re talking about player safety, but how do you have player safety when you add a game?” Steelers offensive lineman James Daniels said. “If they were worried about player safety, it would take away games, but it’s not about player safety, it’s about money and extra games — an extra prime-time game — that brings millions of dollars to the NFL, millions of dollars to cities everywhere. I understand it from both sides.”
Besides this, there are a few other concerns. The change will make it harder for undrafted players and late-round pucks to make a real mark. Data suggests that some of the best players ever to lace up proved their worth in the last two preseason games. Some experts feel that this change will make the ‘Scientific’ NFL schedule rather random, leading to a dozen or so throwaway games at the end of the year.
Per the last CBA negotiation, NFL players can receive 48.8% of the revenue in any 17-game season. If the league owners intend to make this change before the expiration of the current CBA in 2030, they must use the opportunity to increase players’ share of revenue. This can indeed become a level playing field for the players.
As for Goodell, we know that if the NFL commissioner wants it; he gets it! I too believe that this change is coming sooner than later. What do you think, NFL fans? Is the 18-game season a win or a loss? Let’s tackle this debate in the comments below!