UFC Fight Night: Hall vs Strickland Prelims- Chris Gruetzemacher vs Rafa Garcia: Prediction and Analysis

UFC Fight Night: Hall vs Strickland features an exciting lightweight clash in its preliminary card as Chris Gruetzemacher takes on Rafa Garcia. It’s an exciting clash considering both the fighters want to grab attention, especially Garcia, who will feature in his second fight for the promotion.

‘Gritz’ will try to make a comeback after a TKO loss to Alexander Hernandez at UFC Fight Night: Hall vs Silva.

His recent run of form doesn’t look good. With a solitary win in his last 4 fights, his career record stands at 14 wins and 4 losses. He has picked up 7 KO/TKO wins, 3 submissions, and 4 wins via decision.

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‘Gifted’ Garcia will compete in his second match for the promotion. On his UFC debut, he lost to Nasrat Haqparast via unanimous decision at UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Muhammad.

His career tally stands with 11 wins and 1 loss. If we break down his wins, he has picked up 1 KO/TKO win, 7 submission wins and 3 decision wins.

Chris Gruetzemacher vs Rafa Garcia- analysis

If we consider their physical stats, ‘Gritz’ stands at 5′ 8″ and has a reach of 68″. ‘Gifted’ has a one-inch height disadvantage, but a two-inch reach advantage.

The latter has landed 3.47 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 23%. However, he has absorbed 6.6 significant strikes per minute with a significant strike defense rate of 54%. On the other hand, ‘Gritz’ has landed a superior 7.02 significant strikes per minute with an accuracy of 57%. He has absorbed 5.54 counter ones at a rate of 55%.

This shows that both fighters get hit a lot, but expect ‘Gritz’ to be in the driver’s seat as he is the more offensive fighter of the duo. Nevertheless, one can’t discount Garcia as his stats are based on just one UFC fight.

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‘Gifted’ actually has every tool to succeed against Gruetzemacher. He has tons of experience in gruesome slugfests, and Gruetzemacher can’t break him easily as he did against Lauzon. If he wants to win, he has to keep his movements swift. We think he will be able to do so.

Final Prediction: Garcia via 2nd round submission