Josh Hader, by far the best closer available on this season’s free-agent market, is eyeing a record-shattering contract. Hoping to bag a deal as big as Edwin Diaz’s, north of $102 million over 5 years contract, is he asking too much? 

While the New York Mets did secure Diaz last off-season, it’s worth wondering if a similar history will repeat in 2024. But the 6x All-Star’s demand is understandable, given his track record that has remained quite dominant. However, it’s perhaps unlikely to bear fruit.

How Close Is Josh Hader to His Dream Contract?

The New York Yankees emerge as one of the best fits for the superstar closer. While there are other teams like the Philadelphia Phillies and the Texas Rangers in the mix, looks like the Yankees’ signing of Marcus Stroman, not too long ago, could pave the way for Hader into the Bronx. This move certainly would cause a ripple effect. 

As a result of Hader potentially in the Pinstripes, Clay Holmes could thrive in a set-up role. That said, even if the ideal fit for the former San Deigo Padres pitcher would be the Big Apple, he is likely not to be entirely happy with the contract he’d land. As per The Athletic, he could sign a deal close to $20 million per year over a four-year period.

Stepping aside from the Yankees for a moment, the Rangers, still giddy with their World Series victory intoxication, are in need of another top arm. With the possibility of losing out on Jordan Montgomery, the Rangers could pivot towards the 29-ear-old. The Phillies on the other hand, who already have a strong bullpen, could use Hader’s services as a solid closer. 

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Hader Is Impressive But With a Tinge of Doubt

The three-time Reliever of the Year collated an impressive season with San Diego in 2023. He is one step away from potentially receiving a massive deal this off season. His numbers speak volumes. In 61 appearances, Hader posted a 1.28 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP. Additionally, in 65.1 innings, he struck out 85 batters. Despite these impressive stats, some teams carry inhibitions. 

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The Athletic’s Ken Rosenthal raised a flag that caught teams’ attention. He said, “However, his average fastball velocity dropped from 97.4 mph in 2022 to 96.1 in ‘23 while his walk rate increased from 9.6 percent to a career-high 13 percent. Some clubs find that combination alarming.”

It is a common perception in MLB that whenever a relief pitcher’s velocity drops it could be something to stay away from. While the man himself is a rare species of reliever, the market could be very unpredictable. With that, it’s best to patiently watch the off season unveil.