Astros Set to Back Out of Blake Sweepstakes? Lefty Ace’s Short-Term Demands Shock Houston Team’s Top Brass

The Blake Snell sweepstakes have turned into a simmering pot of tension, and the Houston Astros appear to be getting a bit jumpy around the heat. Snell’s undeniable talent is being matched by his steep contract demands—a two-year, $66 million deal with an opt-out after the first season. The Astros are intrigued enough to stay at the table with super-agent Scott Boras, but are they truly willing to meet Snell’s price?

The reigning NL Cy Young winner has certainly earned the right to demand top dollar. His 2.25 ERA and 14-9 record in 2023 were nothing short of exceptional. However, the Astros have a lot to consider, including the luxury tax threshold. According to Cot’s Contracts, Houston is already flirting with exceeding the threshold, and adding Snell’s salary would certainly put them over. The team still should make a move for their target ace. Why?

Here’s Why Houston Should Pull the Trigger on Blake Snell

Let’s not pretend the Astros haven’t been here before. The team is well-known for their ‘go big or go home’ philosophy when trying to win a World Series. They’ve made big splashes in recent years—including the signing of Justin Verlander and, more recently, closer Josh Hader. Moreover, Houston’s pitching staff is anything but stable right now.

Injuries have plagued the rotation, with Luis Garcia, Lance McCullers Jr., and even the recently sidelined Jose Urquidy all dealing with setbacks. Verlander, while on the mend, won’t be ready on Opening Day. The Astros don’t just want an ace; they’re starting to need one. And Blake Snell is the perfect answer.

However, financial concerns could complicate the Blake Snell negotiations. Insider Bob Nightengale points out that their projected payroll is already hovering near $257 million, and signing Snell for over $20 million annually, even on a short-term contract, would push them well over the second luxury tax threshold, incurring a hefty 45% surcharge, resulting in a 2024 payroll of $277 million. So, what are the alternatives?

Houston’s Playbook: What’s Next? 

The Astros have been savvy in the past, and if Blake Snell proves too expensive, alternative plans are surely in the works. FanSided suggests Jordan Montgomery, Michael Lorenzen, or even making a bold trade for Shane Bieber. Of course, nothing is guaranteed in the unpredictable world of baseball free agency.

Even if the Astros are ready to meet Snell’s salary demands, they shouldn’t overlook Jordan Montgomery. Several market reports believe that Montgomery offers a more consistent performance floor, even if he lacks Snell’s star power and Cy Young history. Ultimately, the team will need to decide whether a potential superstar payoff or a reliable, everyday ace is the better fit for their team.

Read More: Blake Snell Prepares for Opening Day, Astros Buzz Grows Amidst Prolonged Free Agency

It’s safe to say the Astros will be doing some serious number crunching in the coming days. While Snell’s asking price is hefty, the team’s immediate need for a top-tier starter and their win-at-all-costs mentality give the ace a firm edge in negotiations. If their past is any indication, the Astros might just end up meeting Blake Snell halfway. After all, the potential reward of another World Series trophy sometimes comes with a very steep price tag.