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MLB, Baseball Herren, USA World Series-Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees Oct 29, 2024 New York, New York, USA New York Yankees outfielder Juan Soto 22 on third base during the first inning in game four of the 2024 MLB World Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Yankee Stadium. New York Yankee Stadium New York USA, EDITORIAL USE ONLY PUBLICATIONxINxGERxSUIxAUTxONLY Copyright: xBradxPennerx 20241029_jhp_ae5_0058
![](https://image-cdn.essentiallysports.com/wp-content/uploads/imago1053149798.jpg?width=600)
via Imago
MLB, Baseball Herren, USA World Series-Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees Oct 29, 2024 New York, New York, USA New York Yankees outfielder Juan Soto 22 on third base during the first inning in game four of the 2024 MLB World Series against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Yankee Stadium. New York Yankee Stadium New York USA, EDITORIAL USE ONLY PUBLICATIONxINxGERxSUIxAUTxONLY Copyright: xBradxPennerx 20241029_jhp_ae5_0058
The New York Mets have had quite a postseason, don’t you think? The club has made numerous deals and signed various free agents to make it a World Series contender. Most notable of those deals is the famous Juan Soto signing. Mets’ Steve Cohen offered Juan Soto the largest contract the sports industry has ever seen and he folded.
The contract is 765 million dollars and it surpassed Shohei Ohtani’s $700 million deal by the Dodgers. Since signing Soto, the Mets have not been sitting idle. In fact, the team has signed Sean Mannea, Jesse Winker, Jared Young, and more. You would think that having the costliest player ever would ensure the team’s entry to the postseason but apparently that’s not true at all.
Despite spending so much on Juan Soto, the Mets’ projections for 2025 do not look good
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According to Codify Baseball, the New York Mets only have a 57.5% chance to make it to the playoffs. That percentage is baffling considering the amount Steve Cohen has spent on players this offseason. As per Spotrac, the Mets have spent nearly $954,450,000 on free agents in 2025. That’s the highest any team has spent. Of course, more than half of this amount belongs to only one player which is Juan Soto.
2025 Playoff Chances (via FanGraphs):
98.2% Dodgers
93.0% Braves
71.9% Yankees
71.5% Phillies
61.2% Diamondbacks
58.2% Rangers
57.5% Mets
57.0% Twins
56.2% Mariners
55.4% Cubs
53.0% Astros
50.7% Red Sox
47.1% Tigers
44.5% Orioles
42.7% Royals
41.8% Rays
37.4% Blue Jays
37.3%…— Codify (@CodifyBaseball) February 5, 2025
One reason for the relatively modest 57.5% playoff probability according to Codify Baseball could stem from concerns about how well the newly assembled team will gel. While the new team may look formidable on paper, chemistry, and performance under pressure are never guaranteed. Another possible factor affecting the Mets’ odds is their pitching staff. The Mets’ rotation has struggled with injuries in recent years, and while they’ve added some depth, maintaining the reliability of their starting pitchers and bullpen will be critical to their chances.
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Will Pete Alonso be back with his former team?
As spring training quickly approaches, the clock is ticking for the New York Mets to secure Pete Alonso’s future in Queens. Despite ongoing discussions, no deal has been struck yet, and his fate remains one of the most intriguing storylines this offseason. With Alonso being one of the biggest free agents left on the market, all eyes are on whether the Mets will manage to lock him up long-term or if he’ll take his talents elsewhere, such as with the Toronto Blue Jays.
Bleacher Report’s Kerry Miller predicts that Alonso will ultimately re-sign with the Mets, rather than head to Toronto. Miller suggests that a six-year, $174 million deal could be on the table, but it might be more likely for the Mets to offer something in the range of a three-year, $75 million deal. Given Alonso’s established power and leadership on the field, he’s poised to remain a key piece of the Mets’ core, and bringing him back would further solidify their lineup alongside the newly acquired Juan Soto.
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Meanwhile, the Blue Jays have been active in free agency, with their pursuit of Alonso being a major focal point. However, despite their interest in multiple big names, their only significant signing so far has been Anthony Santander, which has led some to believe that Alonso’s eventual signing might not land in Toronto. As Miller pointed out, Toronto’s recent flirtations with top free agents often signal that the player is closer to finalizing a deal elsewhere, leaving Mets fans hopeful that Alonso will stay put. If the Mets can bring back their slugger and pair him with Soto, they could become a true powerhouse in the National League, potentially even knocking off the Los Angeles Dodgers as the team to beat next season.
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Debate
Is Juan Soto worth the $765 million gamble, or will Mets fans be left disappointed again?
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What’s your perspective on:
Is Juan Soto worth the $765 million gamble, or will Mets fans be left disappointed again?
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