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Can Tom Kim pull off a historic three-peat at TPC Summerlin, or will a new star emerge?

The PGA Tour will stop in Las Vegas for its fourth FedEx Cup Fall event. The 2024 Shriners Children’s Open lacks big names; none from the world’s top 20 will make the trip to Vegas. However, a section of TPC Summerlin regulars and a bunch of Tour winners this season have already landed on the Vegas strip. From last year’s winner, Tom Kim, to resurgent pros like Seamus Power, here are our top five picks for this week. 

Cam Davis

Last October, Davis netted in the top ten at TPC Summerlin, a first in his six starts. The 29-year-old has bagged eight top-20 finishes this year, including a victory at the 2024 Rocket Mortgage Classic. In his last tournament, the BMW Championship in August, the Aussie bagged a T5. This will be Davis’s first FedEx Cup fall event. Davis might not be the outright bettor’s favorite, but the man from Down Under can climb up the leaderboard for a top-ten finish by this Sunday.

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Adam Hadwin

The Canadian’s current form is not super impressive. His last top-ten finish was at the Memorial, a T3. But over the last five editions, no one has been as consistent at TPC Summerlin as the 36-year-old Moose Jaw native. Since 2019, Hadwin netted four top-ten finishes at the Shriners Children’s Open. In the last three editions, the one-time PGA Tour winner gained around 2 strokes against the field. Adam Hadwin sure feels at home around the par-71 layout at Las Vegas, having finished one stroke behind Tom Kim last year. 

Taylor Pendrith

Heading to TPC Summerlin, only J.J. Spaun has a better trend chart than Taylor Pendrith. The Canadian has gained 1.8 strokes against the field in his last 16 rounds. In his last five starts, Pendrith has finished no worse than a T22. The 2024 CJ Cup Byron Nelson winner has also netted 14 top-25 finishes this year. Pendrith was T3 last year, just two shots shy of Tom Kim at the top. This will be Canadian International’s first FedEx Cup Fall event. 

via Imago

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Can Tom Kim pull off a historic three-peat at TPC Summerlin, or will a new star emerge?

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Taylor Pendrith’s strength lies in his dexterity with the flat stick. He ranks 7th in the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting and 5th in Putting Average. However, his key concern will be his approach game. Last year, six of the top ten were also one of the ten best approach players in the field. But Pendrith ranks 82nd in the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach. The one-time PGA Tour winner ranked 21st in the same category at TPC Summerlin a year back.

Seamus Power

The 37-year-old Irishman has caught fire lately. Power has finished no worse than T11 in his last three starts on this side of the Atlantic. Power’s only concern will be his form on the Las Vegas greens. In his last five starts at the Shriners Children’s Open, the 37-year-old has never been able to break inside the top 20, having missed cuts twice in the last appearances. However, two factors seem to work in his favor. 

Firstly, his current form definitely will boost his confidence. And secondly, his all-around game. Power ranks 47th in SG: Approach, 61st in Proximity to the Greens, and 8th in Scrambling from the rough. His distance off the tee isn’t among the best (96th with a 300.1-yard average), but the Irishman ranks 37th in driving accuracy, a quality valued more at Summerlin than driving distance. Last time, only four inside the top ten also ranked inside the top 25 in driving distance. Whereas, six of the top ten were also inside the top-15 in driving accuracy.

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Tom Kim

The two-time winner returns to the field to defend his title. Kim’s advantage is the course history. He knows the layout by heart and had no trouble navigating the Bobby Weed-designed course for two consecutive years. The 22-year-old has already netted eight top-25 finishes this year. 

At TPC Summerlin, Kim has averaged +1.23 strokes gained: tee-to-green in his last eight rounds. Kim is also the highest-ranked player in the field. The South Korean was already looking forward to making a return. Three-peat feels nice, said the youngster. It remains to be seen if Kim can pull off something that hasn’t been done in a while. 

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Aside from these five, keep an eye on Tom Hoge and Beau Hossler. Hoge has been a regular at the Shriners Children’s Open since 2015, missing only the 2017 edition. Although the last time he missed the cut, Tom Hoge has four top-25s at TPC Summerlin. 

Whereas, Hossler will make his seventh Shriners Children’s Open appearance this time. After a solo second at Sanderson Farms, the 29-year-old has posted a T11 at the Black Desert Championship. The $7M purse tournament will start on October 17. ESPN+ and Golf Channel will broadcast the event.

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