Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte by the Numbers: Prediction, Stats Comparison, and Analyzing the Chances of an Upset Win

Ryan Garcia is ready to bury the ghosts of the past and embark on a winning journey when he squares off against Oscar Duarte Jurado. Their encounter, scheduled for December 2 at the Toyota Center in Houston, will have a lasting impact on the 140-pound division. While the American boxer is looking to rebound after a knockdown by Gervonta Davis, he faces an unknown yet hard-hitting opponent. Will he come back stronger, or will a defeat put a stop to his career?

‘KingRy’ took some time off after being knocked out by ‘Tank’ in April this year. That shattering loss not only handed him his first career loss but also broke his image as an infallible fighter in the eyes of the people. However, it seems he has healed from the loss and looks set to carve out his way as a champion boxer. Duarte stands in his way and marks his debut in the 140-pound division as their headliner on DAZN. Who will come out on top after a thrilling exchange of punches this Saturday?

Ryan Garcia vs. Oscar Duarte: Stats Comparison

Despite dropping the fight against Davis, Garcia holds an impressive record of 23-1, 19 KOs. Meanwhile, Duarte, at 26-1-1, 21 KOs, has made sure his record speaks volumes about his knockout power. The Mexican fighter has an astounding 80.77% knockout ratio. In addition, he stands at 5’9″ tall with a reach of 71 inches.

“Come December 2, I’m going to win, and I’m going to be the next idol in Mexican boxing with the preparation that I am doing,” Duarte vehemently told The Ring. Notably, he is currently ranked #9 in the WBO’s lightweight rankings. His sole loss came against fellow journeyman Adrian Estrella in 2019. Since then, he has racked up 11 consecutive wins.

Garcia knows he has an uphill task, as he told Beto Duran, “I think he’s a tough fighter. It’s going to prepare me for the top at 140. It’s going to be a tough fight. But that’s the whole point of boxing. Take on the best fighters and prove myself. So that’s why I’m here.”

On the other hand, Garcia, at 5’8″, is a smaller opponent with a reach of 70 inches. The 25-year-old has a better resume as he has fought more skilled and well-known opponents. He is a star in the making, as evidenced by his 82.61% knockout ratio and the buzz surrounding him. But since his loss to Davis, the Garcia hype train has been derailed, and he is trying to pick up steam once again.

What has Ryan Garcia been up to since his loss against Gervonta Davis?

The loss against Davis made Garcia realize he needed to change his team. “I was already pissed off about all the weight cut, and I was mad because nobody from my team took that serious. So when I lost I just didn’t give a sh*t,” Garcia confessed.

Therefore, he shifted base to Dallas and recruited Derrick James as his trainer. “It’s been a great change for me. I definitely feel more focused, more committed to the sport, more dedicated. It feels like just the thing I needed,” Garcia told DAZN.

A positive camp was all Garcia needed to jump out of his slump and focus on boxing again. He has a fast pair of hands and a thunderous left hook that has put many an opponent on the canvas. Joining Derrick James allows him to polish the other aspects of his game and work with Anthony Joshua and Errol Spence Jr as well. But is it enough to make him a favorite going into the fight?

Prediction and chances of an upset

Duarte certainly has the power and toughness to pull off an upset. But he has never done it against a top-tier opponent in his 10-year-long career. Further, given his fights against lesser-known fighters, we barely have an idea of his boxing prowess.

However, if Duarte can implement a similar game plan as Davis and attack Garcia’s body and land some heavy shots, he might be able to force Garcia to quit. “I’m focusing on my strategy. I feel like I’m at my best, and I’m going to do my best on December 2nd. It’s good [Ryan’s left hook], he’s fast, and he has power, but I’m getting ready for that. I’m prepared, and I’m ready,” Duarte declared. 

Read More: “Atleast on DAZN They Keep It Real”: Ryan Garcia Lashes Out at ESPN for Not “Keeping It Real” in Shakur Stevenson vs Edwin De Los Santos Fight Commentary

Conversely, we can’t predict how well Duarte will tackle Garcia’s left hooks. Undoubtedly, Garcia is one-dimensional when it comes to offense, but there is a rift in skills between the two, and Garcia is a better boxer. Additionally, Duarte is moving up in a heavier class, which affords Garcia a size advantage. Picking Garcia as a winner is a no-brainer. But can Duarte turn the boxing world upside down? For that, we have to wait until Saturday.

What do you make of this upcoming fight between Ryan Garcia and Oscar Duarte? Who do you think will leave the ring hands raised? Let us know in the comments below.

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