Youth vs. experience has always made for an interesting dynamic in boxing. As one generation heads to the final years of their careers in the sport, the new generation looks to assert their dominance. It often doesn’t end well for the more experienced party, but Keith Thurman vs. Brock Jarvis is a tale of its own. So, it goes without saying that predicting the outcome of this fight has become difficult. 

On the one hand, you have ‘One Time’ Thurman, a two-time welterweight champion, with some of the iconic fights in the recent history of the sport. On the other, Jarvis has proven himself to be an up-and-coming energetic fighter, who is not about to be scared away with battle scars. Only a deep analysis of the upcoming fight will give you a good idea of who is likely to win. 

Predicting Keith Thurman vs. Brock Jarvis: Who has better stats and record?

At 36, Keith Thurman isn’t exactly out of his prime. Many fighters continue to dominate in and around Thurman’s age. However, what really puts a question mark on his chances of winning is the fact that Thurman has failed to remain consistent with his fights. And this will prove to be a pivotal factor in determining whether he still got what it takes. 

You see, Thurman was once a force to be reckoned with. Yes, his brash and trash-talking demeanor only aggravated his opponents, but Thurman knew how to deal with them. Back in 2007, Thurman began his professional career and quickly knocked out his first eight opponents to become a dominant force in the sport. It was thanks to Edvan dos Santos Barros that Thurman’s rampage came to an end.

However, Thurman went on another eight-fight knockout streak after that. He found his first big break in 2016 when he fought former world champion Shawn Porter. Thurman didn’t let this opportunity pass by, he defeated Porter by a unanimous decision to secure a fight against another former world champion Danny Garcia. 

Garcia was undefeated, at this point, so when Thurman secured a split decision win for the WBC welterweight strap boxing had another big name on its hand. For some reason, Thurman decided to sit out in 2018 and then directly jumped into a fight against Manny Pacquiao. This proved disastrous for his career, as Pacquiao would hand Thurman his first career loss despite being the older fighter. 

Thurman again sat out 2020 and 2021 just to return in 2022 to face a much younger opponent Mario Barrios. Despite his age disadvantage and time out of the sport, ‘One Time’ won the fight via unanimous decision. He currently boasts an impressive 73.33% knockout ratio, with a record of 30-1 (22KOs).

Meanwhile, Brock Jarvis has a competitive record on paper, with 22-1 (20 KOs). His knockout ratio is obviously better than Thurman’s at 90.91%. However, what decreases his chances of winning the fight is a lack of big names in his resume. Despite having 23 fights to his name, the only one that stands out is Liam Paro, and even in that fight, Jarvis lost via an embarrassing first-round knockout.

While Jarvis has bounced back with two consecutive knockout wins, it’s difficult to back Jarvis’ win in the fight against Thurman who is clearly a world-class boxer. This becomes especially evident when you consider Thurman’s last fight proved age hasn’t slowed him down even if it was three years ago. All said and done, if Keith Thurman remains active on his feet, Jarvis should not be able to do much damage. And Thurman’s superior boxing skills should be enough to get him the win on the cards. 

Thurman vs. Jarvis: Height, weight, reach comparison, and more

Even though Keith Thurman has the edge over Jarvis in terms of resume and skills, pure physical attributes can often flip the script. Starting off with height, Thurman has the advantage, even though the advantage is miniscule at best. The two-time world champion measures 5′ 9½″/177cm, which is slightly taller than Jarvis, who is 5′ 9″/175cm.

The advantage extends to reach as well, with Thurman’s wingspan measuring 69″/175cm, slightly better than Jarvis’ 68½″ /174cm. Now, in terms of weight, the final weigh-in details are in, and neither fighter seems to hold an advantage over the other. Both fighters weighed 153¾ pounds during the final weigh-ins before the fight. However, one thing to note is that the weight on fight night could differ vastly, in case there is no rehydration clause in their contract. 

Having said that, Keith Thurman should be able to secure a win despite the gaps in his resume. However, boxing is unpredictable, and upsets aren’t uncommon. Regardless, who do you think will win the upcoming fight?