Artificial intelligence (AI) has evolved. From its human-created origins, it has reached a point where it now surpasses human expectations in many domains. From technology to entertainment and sports, AI is making its mark. It was only a matter of time before boxing embraced this innovative force.

Last month, ahead of the highly anticipated Oleksandr Usyk–Tyson Fury rematch at Riyadh’s Kingdom Arena, HE Turki Alalshikh introduced AI into the world of boxing. Although it was not directly involved in decision-making, AI’s arrival signifies the beginning of a new era for the sport. The future of AI in boxing remains uncertain. For now, though, fans are using it as a fun way to predict how matchups might unfold. For many, one of the most awaited bouts is the potential clash between Canelo Álvarez and David Benavidez. As in previous years, its realization remains uncertain this time as well. However, AI has stepped in, offering insights into how the fight might unfold.

How would Canelo Alvarez vs. David Benavidez go down? Fight breakdown

Rounds 1-3: Feeling Out and Tactical Battle

According to AI predictions, Canelo Álvarez will begin the fight cautiously. He will focus on assessing David Benavidez’s speed and power. Before he adopts more aggressive tactics, the approach will allow Alvarez to analyze his opponent. Using a combination of body and head shots, Benavidez may try to come forward. But he will run into a barrage of precise counterpunches from Alvarez.

It’s possible Benavidez may soon take charge in the initial rounds. Aiming to dictate the pace of the fight and keep Canelo Alvarez on the back foot, he will use his jab and throw a high number of punches. But will it be so easy? Despite his aggression, Benavidez may struggle to land clean, effective punches. Alvarez’s exceptional head movement and defensive skills will come in handy, allowing him to evade Benavidez’s punches.

Rounds 4-6: Momentum Shifts

Fighting effectively in close quarters, where he is known for landing powerful and precise shots, Canelo Alvarez will try to bridge the gap during the middle rounds. He will focus on attacking Benavidez’s body, gradually draining his opponent’s stamina. His offensive strategy will cause Benavidez to open up, thus allowing Alvarez to capitalize on these slips with well-timed counterpunches.

Throwing a succession of combinations, Benavidez will nevertheless continue to move aggressively. Despite maintaining a high pace and keeping the pressure, Benavidez’s tendency to neglect his defense—perhaps due to his focus on attacking—will create openings for Alvarez to exploit. Taking advantage, the Mexican icon will deliver precise and powerful punches—more impactful than Benavidez’s flurries.

Rounds 7-9: Turning Point

Though known for his high punch volume, David Benavidez will begin to feel the effects of Canelo Alvarez’s relentless body shots. As his stamina wanes, Alvarez will seize the opportunity to increase his offensive output, applying even more pressure. The super middleweight champion’s close-range punches, including hooks and uppercuts, will further wear down ‘The Mexican Monster’.

Despite the mounting pressure, Benavidez will continue to fight with grit and determination. But the physical toll of Alvarez’s attacks may begin to slow him down. Alvarez’s focus on the body will have visible effects. Showing signs of fatigue, Benavidez will move slowly, with his punches lacking power.

Rounds 10-12: Championship Rounds

Given his extensive history of competing in major, pressure-filled bouts, even in the most critical moments, Canelo Alvarez stays composed and executes his game plan effectively. So taking control of the back-and-forth action, he will consistently land hard and accurate punches. Both physically and mentally, these power shots will take a heavy toll on Benavidez. As the Arizona-born fighter tires, his punches would become less sharp, making it easy for Alvarez to evade.

The championship rounds significantly highlight Alvarez’s defensive skill and ability to capitalize on his opponent’s fatigue. Despite taking significant damage, Benavidez’s courage and ability to absorb punches will allow him to stay in the fight. Canelo Alvarez will increase his intensity and output, eventually overwhelming Benavidez.

Who wins, Alvarez or Benavidez? AI predicts: Final Prediction

Finally, AI predicts that Canelo Álvarez will win by a unanimous decision (117-111, 116-112, 116-112). The fight will go the full distance, with Alvarez consistently outperforming Benavidez across the rounds.

Canelo Alvarez’s ability to land accurate punches, his elite defensive skills, and his relentless focus on attacking the body gave him a decisive edge. David Benavidez’s physical advantages and high punch output helped him win some of the initial rounds. However, his inability to adapt to Alvarez’s counterpunching and evasive head and foot movement will make it difficult for him to maintain an effective offense. Benavidez’s tendency to leave himself open defensively, combined with the toll of the boxing superstar’s consistent body shots, ultimately leads to his downfall in the later rounds.

What about you? Do you agree with AI’s assessment of the Canelo Álvarez–David Benavidez showdown?