Jake Paul‘s recent comments caused quite a stir. Talking about a potential fight with Gervonta Davis, he said, “But me and Gervonta were scheduled to fight for sure.” Delivering the shocker of the year, the YouTuber-turned-boxer fought a 58-year-old Mike Tyson last November. With his ambitions touching new heights, plans for the new year envisioned something bigger. And he was close to the goal when, late in January, a fight with Canelo Alvarez appeared on the horizon.

But the matchup fizzled out as soon as it came. Unperturbed, ‘The Problem Child’ then called out former heavyweight champion Anthony Joshua! Fans and followers were coming to terms with the Ohioan’s bold maneuvers. Finally, it took a strange twist of fate to unravel the story behind the matchup with Gervonta Davis. To set the record, though not extensively, the two had been engaged in a back-and-forth that commenced when Davis called out Paul after the Tyson fight. So as much as Paul’s latest disclosure perplexes, one is nevertheless left wondering how a fight between a legitimate lightweight champion and an influencer-boxer who weighed over 200 pounds in his last fight unfolds. When asked, AI spun an intriguing detail.

Gervonta Davis vs. Jake Paul fight analysis and breakdown

If only there was a more mismatched lineup! Sure enough, in terms of sheer boxing skills and ring IQ, an overwhelming majority will pick Gervonta Davis to deliver a sound drubbing to ‘The Problem Child.’ So does Jake Paul have any chance? Let’s explore.

Size and Reach

To start with, standing six feet and one inch tall and with a 76-inch reach, Jake Paul enjoys a clear edge over Gervonta Davis. The eight-inch height and reach difference between the Ohioan and the Baltimorean lends the former a strategic advantage. It allows Paul to stay on the outside and control the pace of the fight. Thus Gervonta Davis, who relies on getting inside to land his power shots, may find the situation a bit frustrating.

Experience and Skill

But when it comes to experience and skill mastery over boxing, Gervonta Davis stands way ahead of Jake Paul. The lightweight champion brings more than just knockout power to the table. He’s a seasoned technician with a deep boxing resume. His extensive amateur background, combined with years of professional experience against top-tier opponents, gives him a clear edge in ring IQ and technical skill.

Davis excels at reading his opponents and adjusting his strategy mid-fight. Whether it’s timing counters, slipping shots, or setting traps, his adaptability in the ring is a major asset. So regardless of physical advantages, that could overwhelm a less experienced fighter like Jake Paul.

Power and Precision

For one, both fighters carry legitimate knockout power. But the quality and context of that power set them apart. Gervonta Davis‘s punching power is not only more refined but also proven at the highest level of the sport. His knockouts often come through precision, timing, and smart setups.

Even against seasoned, defensively sound opponents, Davis has consistently found openings to end fights emphatically. In contrast, Jake Paul’s knockouts, while impressive on the surface, have come against fighters with limited boxing backgrounds or experience. So the difference lies in execution under pressure. More battle-tested and reliable, Tank’s power has consistently delivered against elite talent.

Defense and Footwork

Defense remains one of Gervonta Davis’s most underrated strengths. He uses subtle head movement and sharp, economical footwork to slip punches and create angles for devastating counterattacks. His ability to stay just out of range while remaining in position to strike is a hallmark of his high-level ring craft.

Particularly in areas such as his guard and distance control, Jake Paul has shown considerable improvement in his defensive game. However, against opponents with faster hands and sharper combinations, he still displays vulnerabilities under pressure. So if Davis closes the distance and forces exchanges, Paul’s defensive gaps could quickly be exposed.

X-Factors

Nevertheless, several key variables could dramatically influence the outcome of the Jake Paul-Gervonta Davis fight. First, the weight class transition looms large. Davis moving up to cruiserweight would be unprecedented. Especially against a naturally bigger opponent, it could take a toll on his speed, stamina, and overall sharpness.

On the flip side, Paul’s development remains an evolving storyline. With each fight, he has shown measurable improvement in technique, timing, and ring IQ. So he may have narrowed the skill gap against more seasoned fighters.

Lastly, fight strategy will be critical. Paul’s best path to success would be using his jab to manage distance and keep Davis on the outside. He will have to capitalize on his height and reach. Davis, however, would look to neutralize that by closing the gap. He will slip past the jab and unleash explosive combinations. The strategy brought him countless highlight-reel finishes.

Who will win, Davis or Paul? AI Predicts

If the fight were to take place at a catchweight that chokes the size advantage, Gervonta Davis’s superior skill set and ring experience would likely give him the edge. In such a scenario, the physical advantages Paul enjoys would be less impactful. Davis will assert himself more effectively.

With his trademark patience and ring IQ, Davis would likely break Paul down over time. He will identify defensive lapses, exploit openings, and land sharp, accurate power shots. His methodical approach and ability to capitalize on even the smallest mistakes could turn the tide decisively in his favor as the rounds progress.

Prediction: Gervonta Davis wins via TKO in the mid- to late rounds.

What about you? Do you think the outcome will be different in your view? Please let us know in the comments below.