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Debate

Can Alcaraz's youthful energy outmatch Medvedev's experience at Wimbledon? Who's your pick?

The semi-finals at the Wimbledon are all set and two familiar names will cross paths yet again. Coming into the event, Carlos Alcaraz, the defending champion, had high hopes and he has managed to step on to them by making yet another semi-final appearance. With just one step away from defending his title, he will look to do whatever he can to do that. However, his road will get only tougher and tougher.

Standing his way in the semis will be the Russian powerhouse Daniil Medvedev. Coming off after his iconic win over Jannik Sinner, the world number 5 is in full confidence and will look to secure his place in the finals. That being said, the big question now remains, who among the two will make their way into the finals?

Carlos Alcaraz vs Daniil Medvedev: Preview

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Currently ranked no. 3 in the world, Alcaraz reached the Wimbledon semifinals with impressive victories. He defeated Mark Lajal, Aleksandar Vukic, Frances Tiafoe in a five-set thriller, Ugo Humbert, and Tommy Paul. Against Paul, Alcaraz came back from a set down to win 5-7, 6-4, 6-2, 6-2, scoring 139 points to Paul’s 116 with 48 winners. He served 7 aces, committed 2 double faults, and broke Paul 8 times. Alcaraz had a 61% first serve rate, winning 66% of those points.

On the other hand, Medvedev advanced to the Wimbledon semifinals with notable victories. He defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic, Alexandre Muller, Jan-Lennard Struff, Grigor Dimitrov (who retired), and Jannik Sinner. In the quarterfinals, Medvedev overcame Sinner in a five-set battle, winning 6-7(7), 6-4, 7-6(4), 2-6, 6-3, despite scoring four fewer points overall.

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Can Alcaraz's youthful energy outmatch Medvedev's experience at Wimbledon? Who's your pick?

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Medvedev’s aggressive play resulted in 91 winners. He served 15 aces but had 11 double faults. Medvedev lost serve three times, saved three break points, and put 68% of his first serves in, winning 76% of those points. He broke Sinner three times, converting 43% of his break points.

Alcaraz vs Medvedev: Head-to-head

When it comes to the head-to-head statistics between the two players, Carlos has been a clear winner among the two. Out of the 6 encounters that the players have had, Alcaraz has the edge by 4-2.

  • First meeting: 2021 Wimbledon, second round – Medvedev won 6-4, 6-1, 6-2.
  • Second meeting: 2023 Indian Wells Masters, Finals – Alcaraz won 6-3, 6-2.
  • Third meeting: 2023 Wimbledon, Semifinals- Alcaraz won 6-3, 6-3, 6-3.
  • Fourth meeting: 2023 US Open, Semifinals- Medvedev won 7-6 (3), 6-1, 3-6, 6-3.
  • Fifth meeting: 2023 ATP Finals, Round Robin- Alcaraz won 6-4, 6-4.
  • Sixth Meeting: 2024 Indian Wells, Final- Alcaraz won 7-6(5), 6-1.

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Thus, their encounter at the semi-finals of the Wimbledon will be the 7th time when the two stars meet against each other. But, the question that lies here is: Who will come out on top?

Prediction: Alcaraz to make his way into the finals with a hard-fought win

Medvedev’s aggressive new grass-court style, showcased in his five-set win over Sinner, has transformed him into a formidable opponent. By dictating play from closer to the baseline, he can potentially disrupt Alcaraz’s rhythm and emerge as the favorite.

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However, Alcaraz is a fierce competitor with a proven ability to rise to the occasion, especially on home turf. His superior touch and drop shot could pose a significant threat to Medvedev’s aggressive game plan. While the Russian has made impressive strides on grass, overcoming Alcaraz’s power and variety will be a daunting challenge.

Prediction: Carlos Alcaraz in five sets.

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