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“I’m trying to get what I deserve,” Brandon Aiyuk declared last offseason, flexing the kind of confidence that turns contract talks into full-blown soap operas. Fast-forward to March 2025, and the 49ers’ star wideout isn’t just fighting for a bag—he’s battling the NFL’s cruelest villain: the salary cap.

With a $50M guaranteed headache looming by April 1, San Francisco’s front office is sweating harder than a tourist hiking Lombard Street in July. Aiyuk’s $50M Riddle: Catch-22 in the Bay? Let’s crunch numbers like a halftime nacho. Aiyuk’s 2024 extension—4 years, $120M, $76M guaranteed—was supposed to lock him as Brock Purdy’s go-to weapon. Instead, a torn ACL/MCL in Week 7 (25 catches, 374 yards pre-injury) left the 49ers stuck between a spreadsheet and a hard place. Trade him? Swallow $50M in dead cap? Keep him? Pray he rebounds like The Hangover’s Alan post-roofie.

As David Lombardi put it, “If the 49ers do trade him, which again, I’m going to emphasize this right now is very unlikely because of the ACL and the MCL—that is a lot of savings for San Francisco over the course of the next several seasons. About $50 million in guaranteed money, or effectively guaranteed money, for Brandon Aiyuk would be shipped off to another team.” His words somewhat echo the truth.

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That’s the dilemma—San Francisco could save a fortune, but not without serious consequences. “That’s why it’s going to be hard to move off of that money—because there’s a lot of it, and Brandon Aiyuk is currently not yet fully healthy,” Lombardi explained. “As we approach April 1st, I want to keep people apprised of the importance of that date. That is the trigger date in Brandon Aiyuk’s contract when the 49ers will have to absorb the vast majority of his 2025 pay as an option bonus against the salary cap.” Well, he’s due a $22.9 million bonus and the 49ers would like to save that.

GM John Lynch’s playbook? Hope Aiyuk’s separation magic (1,342 yards in ‘23) returns. Remember his NFC Championship miracle catch against Detroit? The one where he snatched a deflected pass mid-air like Spider-Man in cleats? That’s the Aiyuk they need. But with Deebo Samuel traded and Christian McCaffrey aging faster than milk in the sun, the 49ers’ offense hinges on a rehabbing WR who’s currently worth more on paper than the Mona Lisa.

Lombardi put it bluntly: “The bottom line in this situation is that the 49ers, I think in all likelihood, are best off keeping Brandon Aiyuk because I just don’t see how the outside interest would generate enough trade return for them. Keeping Brandon Aiyuk, given the financial situation, given the contract that was signed, and hoping that he returns to A-list status for this team in the 2025 season—or at least returns to big-time contributions through the way that he separates. Because that’s what this team needs most. That’s what Brock Purdy needs most.” Numbers suggest the same.

What’s your perspective on:

Can Brandon Aiyuk bounce back, or is his contract a ticking time bomb for the 49ers?

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Aiyuk’s 2024 earnings largely stem from a $23 million signing bonus. But for now, that’s the only cap commitment the 49ers have. If the team trades him, they will take on a potential dead money hit of $18.4 million. That’s just $7.2 million more than his current cap hit.

Apart from Aiyuk’s situation, in Santa Clara, Mac Jones is doing his best Rocky Balboa impression.

Mac attack on Shanahan: Jones’ redemption arc

After three seasons of getting sacked more than a Thanksgiving turkey (20-29 record, 44 INTs), the ex-Patriots/Jaguars QB signed a 2-year, $7M “prove-it” deal with the Niners. “I’m here to surround myself with winners,” Jones said, side-eyeing his 2-5 stint in Jacksonville like it was a bad Tinder date.

But why San Fran? Let’s break it down like a Kyle Shanahan play-action:

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  1. The Shanahan Whisperer: Remember the 2021 draft buzz? Shanahan almost picked Jones over Trey Lance. Now, he’s giving Mac a lifeline—and a clipboard behind Purdy.
  2. Brock Star Tutorials: Jones isn’t here to start; he’s here to study. “I want to learn from [Purdy]… elevate everybody,” he admitted, sounding more humble than a Golden Gate fog.

Jones’s career arc? A Pro Bowl rookie year (3,801 yards, 22 TDs) nosediving into bench-warming obscurity. But in Shanahan’s QB rehab lab—where Jimmy Garoppolo became a heartthrob and Purdy a $40M man—Mac’s hoping for a Breaking Bad-level transformation. “The fundamentals are really important to me,” he said, channeling his inner Walter White.

So here’s the haiku of this Bay Area drama: Cap hell chases trophies. A QB seeks redemption. April fools no one. The 49ers’ 2024 collapse (6-11, dead-last in NFC West) wasn’t just bad—it was “burn the game film” bad. But with Aiyuk’s health ticking and Jones’s hunger simmering, Shanahan’s playing 4D chess. Or as The West Wing’s Jed Bartlet would say, “What’s next?”

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Tick-tock, Niners. The clock’s louder than a vuvuzela at Levi’s.

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Can Brandon Aiyuk bounce back, or is his contract a ticking time bomb for the 49ers?

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